The Method
A 5-minute read explaining exactly how I approach claims: trace incentives, find primary sources, label uncertainty, translate to plain language.
Start Here
New here? These three entry points will tell you whether this is worth your time—and how to use it if it is.
Best entry points
The Trailer
A short orientation video. What this channel is, what it isn't, and why "Second Opinion" is the right frame.
AI Slop or Modern Telenovela?
My best work so far. If you watch one episode to decide if this is for you, make it this one.
If you're here for…
Jump directly to what you care about.
AI & Automation
How AI systems actually work (and fail), who benefits from the hype, and what the research actually shows.
Elections & Operations
How elections actually run, real vs. imagined vulnerabilities, and separating operational facts from partisan narratives.
Performance Systems
Why most performance management doesn't work, what incentive structures actually produce, and how to read organizational BS.
Media Claims
How to read press releases, spot derivative reporting, and trace claims back to primary sources.
Security & Risk
Actual threat modeling vs. security theater, risk communication, and what "secure" actually means.
How to Think (Meta)
The meta-skills: incentive tracing, uncertainty labeling, falsifiability, and avoiding both cynicism and naivety.
What to expect
Format
Most episodes are 20–45 minutes. Each episode page has show notes, a TL;DW summary, full transcript, and sourced claims so you can verify everything yourself.
Frequency
New episodes roughly every two weeks. Quality over quantity—I'd rather skip a week than publish something half-researched.
What I won't do
- Hot takes without sources
- Claims without uncertainty labels
- Predictions presented as certainties
- Tribal signaling disguised as analysis
What I will do
- Cite primary sources when they exist
- Label when I'm inferring vs. reporting
- Update pages when I learn I was wrong
- Keep the jargon to a minimum